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Trump Wins; Takes All of Indiana's 57 Delegates; Ted Cruz Drops Out of Race for President


YUGE news!

<=  Official Cruz campaign response.

That puts his total delegate count (not counting unbound delegates) to 1010, just 227 delegates away from the magic number of 1237, and with Trump-leaning states like West Virginia (34 delegates), California (172 delegates) and New Jersey (51 delegates) on the horizon it didn't bode well for Cruz.

It leaves a "two-person" race with the Karate Chopping Waterboy Kasich, who for some reason is still staying in the race (he must think he can actually stop Trump on his own), which should make for a hilarious end to this Republican Primary.    I'm just waiting for Kasich to say, "FINALLY, a two-man race like everybody's been wanting for weeks!"   Seriously though... who wouldn't like a little icing on the cake in the form of a 90% to single digit win for Trump over KCWB?   :: raises hand ::

Say what you want about Cruz, he recognized the realities of race ahead, contrary to a couple of the candidates that remain.

Given Hillary's current lead and the fact that she'll split the delegate count with Sanders (regardless of who wins  she'll still score in the mid-40's) and be on cruise control until inevitably securing the nomination....  so it's looking more and more like this:








Cruz and Carly... Sittin' in a Tree...

S - I - N - G - I - N - G

So yeah, this happened, and yes, I think it's odd that he's choosing a VP choice, but not really when you consider the possible reason why:


172 California delegates.   That's why.

Now, WILL this be enough to actually stop Trump?  Possibly.  It really depends on how the rest of the delegates shake out, but consider this one additional strategy Cruz has implemented (on top of the Kasich-you-suck-go-spend-your-money-where-it-will-only-be-wasted strategy) to ensure the highest number of delegates going into Cleveland.   This appears to be more of an "every little bit helps" train of thought than it does game-changer.

Here's how California is looking right now:

RCP Average 3/24 - 4/21 -- -- 45.7 28.3 18.0 Trump +17.4
FOX News 4/18 - 4/21 583 LV 4.0 49 22 20 Trump +27
CBS News/YouGov 4/13 - 4/15 1012 LV 4.8 49 31 16 Trump +18
Field 3/24 - 4/4 558 LV 4.0 39 32 18 Trump +7

btw...  Fox News is the only poll sporting Cruz's numbers that low, but regardless Cruz is still in need of a significant swing to help in the national delegate count.   Is Carly popular enough to get him there?   I'll report, you decide.

Remember...  1237 is the magic number:

Whoopsie...  looks like somebody got cut off there at the end... 

...let's try that again:

...THERE we go.  Fixed to get the obnoxious eater on the page (Unbound delegates not included).

Five Thirty Eight has a good breakdown of the delegate count so far and what's ahead.   Key parts/dates worth mentioning:

DateState Delegates Won/Target Won/Target Won/Target Won/Target

MAY 3 Indiana 57
MAY 10 Nebraska 36
  West Virginia 34
MAY 17 Oregon 28
MAY 24 Washington 44
JUNE 7 California 172
  Montana 27
  New Jersey 51
  New Mexico 24
  South Dakota 29
  TOTAL 2,472

So we've got Cruz zeroing in on Indiana (57 delegates) where he trails Trump by about 6 pts, and he'll probably do well in Nebraska, Montana & South Dakota (92 combined delegates)... so yeah, it won't hurt him any getting somebody, something, any beneficial factor to work on that 172 number.

On the flip side Trump is certain to do well in the NE again with W Virginia and New Jersey (85 total delegates) so the likelihood of Cruz cutting down on his 409 point deficit much is rather slim.   That being said, Cruz still has an opportunity to inch closer to 750 delegates overall, which of course won't put him over Trump (who will likely have over 1100 delegates when it's all said and done, but it will help make a stronger case for him in Cleveland when he tries to persuade those remaining delegates (still a lot left over, not even counting the unbound delegates) to hop aboard the Cruz train.

Fun with delegate math:   check out this delegate calculator (courtesy of the NY Times)

Meanwhile the Trumpateers (i.e. Trump supporters, but I prefer that phrase... reminds of the Mousekateers and how they were children) will scream foul, because Trump says so, and because most of them (and much of the media for that matter) don't seem to understand how delegates work, their purpose, or even the process in which they are chosen.   Many also never got involved in grassroots Republican Party politics prior to the arrival of Donald Trump's campaign so they're at a disadvantage when it comes to the national convention... and they know it. 

Also, on a much, much sillier note....  if I were Ted Cruz I'd be calling John Bo(eh)ner and thanking him for his support.  There's simply no better endorsement of conservative  principals than to be childishly attacked by a washed-up, tearful RINO like Bo(eh)ner.




♂ Transphobia on Aisle 13 ♀

So today I had to make a tough decision.    I received a link to a pledge to boycott Target from a old friend after Target issued this press release in regards to "inclusivity", which read:

We believe that everyone—every team member, every guest, and every community—deserves to be protected from discrimination, and treated equally. Consistent with this belief, Target supports the federal Equality Act, which provides protections to LGBT individuals, and opposes action that enables discrimination.

Boy Dog... or Girl Dog? Doesn't Matter!In our stores, we demonstrate our commitment to an inclusive experience in many ways. Most relevant for the conversations currently underway, we welcome transgender team members and guests to use the restroom or fitting room facility that corresponds with their gender identity.

We regularly assess issues and consider many factors such as impact to our business, guests and team members. Given the specific questions these legislative proposals raised about how we manage our fitting rooms and restrooms, we felt it was important to state our position.

...and what a bold position it is.

Now the tough decision wasn't whether or not to reply back to him saying "stop sending me your stupid links" (like usual), nor whether or not to click the link (which I'm prone to do even if the previous reply holds true), but whether or not to take part in such a bold stance against venturing one of the greatest places known to man...  the women's restroom.

Clearly I have nothing against women's bathrooms.  For starters... they are SO much cleaner.   Seriously guys, flush after you've unleashed hell in a toilet.  On top of that the vast majority of the women's bathroos have diaper changing stations... PERFECT for us dads!   Try finding that in 95% of the men's rooms out there.   The icing on the cake:  tons of women stroll in and out of there on a regular basis.   It seems perfect for perverts like me, but please don't judge, I can't help the way that I am.

So, despite the obvious home runs, I considered AFA's proposal with an open mind nonetheless.   I weighed all the plusses & negatives of this burden sent via Gmail.   To keep an open mind I considered every possible drawback.

I mean, c'mon... we're talking about TARGET here.    I'm pretty sure my mother purchased 100% of my clothing there when I was growing up... usually off the clearance rack, making it extra embarrassing to go to school some days.   You can't put a clearance price on those kind of memories.

Fashion?  Are you kidding me?   If you had to put a gauge on fashion...  with 1 being Wal-Mart and a 10 being Michelle Obama's personal closet, Target is a solid 2... maybe even a 3.   It screams not-quite-the worst when talking about department store fashion.  I can relate to that.

Where else can I possibly go to buy Mossimo?   They were quite possibly THE COOLEST thing going back in my freshman year of high school.   Sure that was roughly 14 years ago, but you never know... early 90's clothing may make the kind of comeback only bellbottoms and fedoras could rival.

Let's not forget the activewear.   I literally have no idea where else they still sell Champion brand.   I didn't even know they were still around, but sure enough, they are alive and well and living just beyond the men's section (a sexist phrase if I've ever seen one) at Target.

Walk another couple aisles further and you'll see the latest and greatest in sporting goods.   Why spend the money on Adidas soccer balls when there's a perfectly good Franklin at a fraction of the price?    Take to the links with a thrifty new Nitro golf set.   What perfect day isn't complete without a ride around the neighborhood on a new Huffy bicycle?   Maybe pick up a Punisher skateboard for that emo kid that of yours that refuses to ride along with you.   He'll be the epidemy of cool when his friends see what a rebel he is on that.   Love, no coupons necessary.

With all these activities you'd be silly not to pick up some extra Hanes X-temp underwear and socks.   They're only available at Target... and everywhere that sells undergarments.

Man, I just made this decision REALLY hard on myself.   While I've been talking about all the good things Target has to offer, that petition has grown from 631,115 to 643,396 (and counting).   That's practically double what it was this morning.   

Maybe what Target really needs to do is turn this inclusivity into a marketing campaign.   Anybody can invite members of the opposite sex into their bathrooms and dressing rooms, but nowhere is there a cross-dresser section.   How about the clothing for those who want to look like a man, but prefer the shape and fit meant for a woman?   Bra sizes?  IMPOSSIBLE for me to judge.   Am I an A-cup?  B-cup?   I haven't completely let myself go, but how am I to know what to choose with all these gender-specific sizes?

Personally I would enjoy it a company just put everything in one section of their department store and said "here's where all the gay stuff is" so I wouldn't have to walk up and down every single aisle determining whether I would truly look gay in it or not.

If you're going to go all-inclusive... do it right Target.

Needless to say, I finally made my choice to sign the petition.   What the hay.   We don't even have any Targets down here anyway.   I now live in the hometown of Wal-Mart.   I'm already surrounded by stores that sell cheap crap I'll never want to buy (but will anyway because I'm frugal...  provided I can't find it on Amazon first)  ...and at least when I DO have to go there I don't have to worry about my daughters walking into a restroom and being met by a perve like me.



Never Forget

Monday marks the anniversary of the famed Doolittle Raid.

Nice summary here, with excerpts from "30 Seconds Over Tokyo."

Of course, this was back when the American president knew who the enemy was, and was not afraid to name him. 


Name This Thread

I know there is a new thread pending, but as it is still unpublished, and there has been a persistent howling for a new thread, this will do for now.  It needs a headline.  Send suggestions.


Rubio Throws in Towel; Kasich Tries to Catch It

It looks like a fat slab of reality hit Rubio upside the head yesterday in the form of a double-digit defeat in his home state of Florida, prompting him to call it quits on his bid for President, but not before giving one hell of a concession speach.  If he's lukcy his decision to stick it through Florida won't destroy his political future.   He's young and talented, but his naivety tends to guide him towards his establishment buddies that fill his head with really bad advice...  like staying in the race as long as he did, amongst other things.  I can only guess how many of those same advisors told Mitt Romney to take it easier on Obama in 2012.

Kasich however hasn't quite warmed up to common sense.   He's determined to stick it out to the end with hopes of securing the nomination, something Glenn Beck today called "delusional", but I disagree...   it's not delusional, it's purposeful.  Does he really believe what he says or is he just saying what needs to be said to justify this insistence of staying in the race?   If he drops out now it opens up the possibilty of two things the GOP hates to think about before bedtime:  Trump and/or Cruz securing enough delegates to secure the Republican Party nomination before the convention (which I hear should be a hoot).

Few people seem to recall (partly due to the short-term memories & lack of knowledge that thrives in American voters) but Kasich began the debates as the GOP-establishment flamethrower, attacking candidates at the very onset, interrupting everybody to talk about himself and flailing his arms like an unseasoned buffoon (cue the Karate Kid Kasich reference).

He is the only candidate in the race that managed to make Donald Trump once look tame.

However now we’re being told (constantly might I add) that he’s not the attack-type, "because people are getting sick and tired of this angry talk", and really just a level-headed, soft-spoken moderate that gets along with every stinkin' Democrat from here to the hooka bar.  Sure, it's all complete and utter bullshit, and many (especially the establishment...  who are probably cheering him on and encouraging him to stay in the race) know he was never a viable candidate to begin with.   Now suddenly he's their only hope.   Irony.

“My numbers are going up” he says… well, duh.  Everybody else has dropped out except you and two others. Of course you’re numbers have gone up.  That's how divison works.  But hey, keep thinking it's because of your ever-changing message and not due to the party's decreased options.

(Hmmm... maybe he is delusional after all)

His staying in the race of course leaves the following possibilities:

a) He prevents Cruz from securing the most delegates
b) He prevents Trump from securing ENOUGH delegate
c) He allows an opportunity for the GOP to pick their own candidate
d) He leads to the end of the Republican Party, because if stolen, people will flee the party for a less crooked alternative (like myself, a county/district/state delegate and Cruz supporter).

If the GOP tries what I fear they will it’ll be suicide for the Republican Party.  

Cue the 3rd party talk.

Okay, listen up my fellow/possible party defectors:  You might be even dumber than the GOP guys secretly talking about sabataging the party for the candidate of your choice... WAIT, no, I take that back... THAT of course was pretty much BEYOND stupid, but still is this plan any different that what the GOP is (likely) planning?    Unless you can secure a SIGNIFANT amount of votes (which you likely wont) all you'll be doing is taking away probable Republican votes to support your little protest-candidate, in turn guaranteeing a win for Mrs. You-Know-Who (D).    

The even more ironic part of the story it that after all those anti-Trump Republicans that begged Trump to vow (and even sign a pledge) NOT to run as a 3rd party candidate months ago have now morphed into anti-Trump Republicans considering a 3rd party candidate to instead defeat him.   In other words: sore losers.

Since I'm a sports-guy I can't help but think of a sports analogy to compare it to:   It's as if it's the fourth quarter of the Super Bowl.  We're in the lead and have all the momentum (have you not seen the number of Dem voters compared to that of Rep voters this cycle?) and all we have to do is play the rest of the game smart and close it out, but instead of playing it smart we have the power-hungry coach, a rouge offensive coordinator, 2 star running backs and the quarterback going off 3 entirely different playbooks.   The coach is hoping they'll fumble the ball and make a game out of it.   The coordinator is calling for hail mary's just because "hey,  the last thing we want is a fumble right now".  Meanwhile the QB (that's us by the way) just wants to hand the ball off to one of our two star running backs and let him run the ball right up the middle of the opposing teams weak and tired defense.    

Oh... and we have a water boy on the sidelines practicing karate.

I mean, c'mon guys...  we're talking about running against the woman who JUST said we didn't lose any lives in Libya.  Libya!   Apparently she hasn't seen that movie.    They're tripping themselves (while running away from Inspector Generals) and all we're doing is trying to trip harder and faster.

I get it... Trump is not my candidate either (I'm 100% in the tank for Cruz), but if you think giving away the next election to Hilary Clinton is going to draw anybody to your political alternative you have another thing coming.   I'll vote for Trump in a New York minute if given that choice  combined with possible consequences.  Do you really want to become the individuals responsible for the Supreme Court shifting radically left and doing more irrepairable damage that even Obama himself couldn't have dreamed up on his own.

Conservative politicians have toppled the GOP establishment time and time again.   Heck, I watch us do it in Iowa (before watching it squandered by fellow Libertarians).   We've seen candidates like Ted Cruz, Dave Brat, Mike Lee, Matt Bevin, etc... take on the GOP and win, as REPUBLICANS.  It's what truly makes us the bigger tent party, unlike the other party that considers themselves more diverse just because of their wide array of left-wing social justice warriors.   

How about instead of a Republican death march you focus on how popular the Republican Party is getting this cycle.   Like football, politics is a game of inches.   Small gains now open up the possibility for bigger gains down as time progresses.


Make or Break Time Approaching

Will March 15 be the end for most candidates? 

Will Kasich win his own state of Ohio?

Will Rubio win his own state of Florida?

Will Cruz improve his standing enough to remain viable?

Will Hillary cruise to an insurmountable lead over Red Bernie, thanks to DNC rigging of the process?

Will Trump continue to roll, or could his bubble burst on the 15th?

Will the RNC continue to behave like raving loons and encourage losers like McCain and Romney to carry on with the suicide mission of destroying the party?






South Carolina, He/She Bathrooms, and Whatever Thread

So... Trump is likely to win S.C., according to polls.  At the same time, polls show him losing to Red Bernie and Hildegard.  With the unfortunate death of Mr. Justice Scalia, these are very frightening times.

Meanwhile, assorted leftist loons, the ACLU, and Planned Infanticide all have their panties in a twist because South Dakota is on the verge of saying that boys should use the boys' bathroom and girls should use the girls' bathroom.  Oh, the humanity! 

What else wonderful is going on? 



New Hampshire

A blowout by Sanders and Trump? 


Will R voters surprise us with the order of finish?  Where does Cruz need to finish to remain viable?  Is Rubio going to suffer, after his awful robotic debate performance?


Will D voters close ranks behind The Old Crooked Bag, or will they drift off into the magical land of Free Stuff and Money Trees? 




With Iowa polling having such a history of being wrong, who knows? 

I'll stick my neck out and say that Cruz and Clinton will come out on top.  Or, at least, that's how I'd like it to be.  I want The Old Bag to clinch the nomination and then be indicted.  




Republican Debate and SOTU Speech

How many lies did El Presidente tell in the SOTU teleprompter-fest?

Who won the debate, and who lost?




May the Force Be With You... And This Open Thread... Always

Yes boys (and perhaps girls.... but mostly boys), it's that time of your life again, where you get to go to the movie theater to see one of the most anticipated blockbusters ever.  Fortunately this go around offers little to be disappointed with (don't worry, there aren't any spoilers).

I was fortunate enough to see this last night, in the prime time of 7:30, in the podunk town of Bella Vista.   Sure the theater was small (9, maybe 10 chairs wide) and the screen even smaller, but I can still say the experience was worth every dollar (including the thirty-some bucks I shelled out on popcorn, drinks, and Sour Patch Kids).  

JJ Abrams did a fantastic job, not only making up for the previous lackluster prequels, but bringing the entire franchise back the look and feel of the classics...  with some excellent special effects thrown in (but in a good way, not in charicatures and quirky animations).  The music was good, just not as iconic as the previous movies, but that is a pretty tall order to fill.   I'll probably have to go back and check it out in 3D, which I wanted to do anyway, however they were sold out so I embraced to 2D just to ensure nobody at work on Friday threw any spoilers my way (accidentally, of course).

The storyline was great in my opinion, and really opens up the storyline for potential spin-offs, and really leaves you begging for Episode VIII right away.  Unfortunately we'll have to wait another 18 months before that happens.   I hope Disney can continue keeping the plot tight under wraps as they did with this movie because not knowing what to expect made it even better.

Have a great weekend.   NO SPOILERS PLEASE!!  IF you do, Finn will punish you:



So... We Have Yet Another Debate Tonight

CNN... Again.    They're really hyping up the Cruz vs Trump headline, so expect a lot of "he said something about your momma" type questions to get them into a tussle, combined with the occasional back-and-forth amongst some meaningful candidates (oh, and Kasich will be there).

I'm watching the JV debate right now and can't figure out for the life of me why Kasich is even on the main stage tonight, but I guess it's because he's polling better than awful in New Hampshire at 6%, which allowed him to beat the 4% minimum CNN required.   Good job New Hampshire...   you made it possible for the GOP mudslinger to embarrass himself tonight and provide an easy stipulation for the GOP Debate Drinking Game this evening:  "Drink every time Kasich interrupts a candidate and/or appears less qualiflied than said candidate".

Live feed here.


The Slow, Bloody, and (Hopefully) Painful Death of the Media's Common Thought Process

"Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity."      - Martin Luther King, Jr.

It shocks me to see how shocked the progressive media is over unshocking poll numbers fueled by even less shocking Trump statements.   I know, getting old leads to confusion, but it's something we all have to live with... even you, Tom Brokaw.

Then again we are talking about "experts" that called Trump's chances of winning the GOP nod equivelant to that of a lady's hopes of coming within an arms reach of Joe Biden without getting groped.

Amidst the confusion:  NBC/WSJ issued a new poll, partially to vent their frustration over their total inability to bring down Trump, but also to combat Trump's call for a temporary ban on Muslim immigrants... without all the hoopla of giving the details of how this conclusion was drawn from their poll  (i.e. showing the question which was asked).

Meanwhile other polls just keep flowing in, citing an agreement with Trump's statement, and even worse for progressives...   that Democrats don't think too highly of Islam either:

 Yet for some reason we're told by these same media dinosaurs not to follow Trump's same judgemental path, one that is giving him an even bigger lead in the Presidential race.   The sad part is they think they can persuade people into thinking his rationale is wrong, even after so many have nodded their head in agreement with him.  He's not persuading anybody... he's simply stating what so many already think.

But it's hard to see that from the bubble from wence they live.  "Why, we can't just stop bringing in Muslims... that's racist!"  No, instead we should just keep on letting them flow in, just like that San Bernadino shooter (who for quite a while as the news broke was described as a white gunman by these same media know-it-alls) and his nut-ball, burqa-wearing wife.   

How about this then...  how about instead of phrasing it as "Muslims", maybe we just issue a call to cease immigration from areas crawling with our enemy (i.e. radical Islam), ninety-nine-plus percent of which just happen to be of the Muslim faith?  Is that reality-based enough for you or do we really need to continue on with this politically correct game of charades?

NO?!  Oh, that's right... I forgot...  you aren't even convinced we're at war with these radical bombs with legs yet.   You're still living in 1980-something, when our country's social dynamics weren't flipped on their head, and a group of Islamic facists weren't flat-out telling the world they were going to infiltrate our borders and destroy us from within (not to mention succeeding in their ambitions).

No, instead they choose to ignore all that and focus on the real problems we face... "global warming and the gosh darn Donald Trump!"   If that wasn't bad enough, they are having to face the stark reality of Ted Cruz (another one they said never stood a chance in the race) pulling away from the pack and holding a strong 2nd place in the Presidential race.   Between the media and establishment Republicans, I'm not sure which causes their heads to explode more...  the thought of a Donald Trump GOP frontrunner or that in the shape of Ted Cruz.   Both lead to the type of hysteria that pleases.

Meanwhile they both continue to sink fortunes and tireless efforts to dissuade we everyday voters, only to see their persuasions backfire, and at times thrown right back in their face in the form of polls telling us the opposite of what they insist we believe.   To make matters WORSE for them, some of these polls (like the one link to) stems polling data taken from BEFORE two enemy combatants took a work Christmas party by storm, killing many innocent (and unarmed) civilians, and inspiring the enemy to commit even more of these atrocities.   If you think their opinions have improved since that...  you might want to consider a career in network broadcasting.

The truth hurts...  but WE SHOULDN'T SAY IT!  It might be considered hateful and old fashioned by dying breeds once considered relevent:  Networks, Political Strategists, Bon Jovi fans, etc.

Arm yourselves America... and have a great weekend.

Thread is open.   You know what to do now (well, except for you Tom Brokaw...  stick around after this post and I'll take you on a guided tour around this thing we call 'the internet").


Thanksgiving And Other News

Hope you all have a nice Turkey Day tomorrow. 

Although, the Turkey on the map may be in doubt once Vlad the Impaler gets going.

Meanwhile, lefties and RINOs are puzzled and troubled as Ted Cruz ties with Trump in the latest poll, and Hillary loses in a match-up against each of the top tier Republican candidates.  This isn't going according to plan.  We're supposed to have an election next year to choose between Jeb "Amnesty First" Bush and Hillary "What Difference Does It Make" Clinton, to see which one we should hire to finish wrecking the country.  

Oh, and that new hostage situation in France could be somewhat interesting.  

Eat, drink, and be merry!


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