Here We Go Again...
OK, were you among those who thought that maybe--just maybe--the big banks had learned their lesson when the "securitized" mortgage market collapsed last year? Nah, it seems that they've been busy building the next iteration of their profit-from-flying-paper scheme. Last month, the New York Times reported:
The bankers plan to buy “life settlements,” life insurance policies that ill and elderly people sell for cash — $400,000 for a $1 million policy, say, depending on the life expectancy of the insured person. Then they plan to “securitize” these policies, in Wall Street jargon, by packaging hundreds or thousands together into bonds. They will then resell those bonds to investors, like big pension funds, who will receive the payouts when people with the insurance die.
The earlier the policyholder dies, the bigger the return — though if people live longer than expected, investors could get poor returns or even lose money.
Either way, Wall Street would profit by pocketing sizable fees for creating the bonds, reselling them and subsequently trading them. But some who have studied life settlements warn that insurers might have to raise premiums in the short term if they end up having to pay out more death claims than they had anticipated.
You have GOT to be kidding me. Oh, but they're excited about it:
“We’re hoping to get a herd stampeding after the first offering,” said one investment banker not authorized to speak to the news media.
There's an incipient market framework in development, too!
Some financial firms are moving to outpace their rivals. Credit Suisse, for example, is in effect building a financial assembly line to buy large numbers of life insurance policies, package and resell them — just as Wall Street firms did with subprime securities.
The bank bought a company that originates life settlements, and it has set up a group dedicated to structuring deals and one to sell the products.
Goldman Sachs has developed a tradable index of life settlements, enabling investors to bet on whether people will live longer than expected or die sooner than planned. The index is similar to tradable stock market indices that allow investors to bet on the overall direction of the market without buying stocks.
Oh, and here's the crowning glory of this little idea:
But if a policy is purchased and packaged into a security, investors will keep paying the premiums that might have been abandoned; as a result, more policies will stay in force, ensuring more payouts over time and less money for the insurance companies.
“When they set their premiums they were basing them on assumptions that were wrong,” said Neil A. Doherty, a professor at Wharton who has studied life settlements.
Indeed, Mr. Doherty says that in reaction to widespread securitization, insurers most likely would have to raise the premiums on new life policies.
When are these clowns going to learn their lessons?
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Reader Comments (8)
I'm fervently hoping that the silence doesn't mean that you guys consider this a Good Idea...
I think this has been happening for some time. Kinda Las Vegasy, huh..
I'm just wondering who's actually buying these things, especially after we saw what happened with the packaging of mortgages to 'minimize risk.' I have half a mind to call my various funds and ask, "You aren't in this market, are you?"
I first heard of Viatical settlements in the 1980's when AIDS patients were selling their life policies to have some cash while they were alive to spend it.
Afterwards, some life insurance companies added a life benefit for those diagnosed with terminal illness, giving them the ability to draw out a portion of the death benefit to be used before the person dies.
If a person was in that situation, I would hope they would check with their current life insurance company to see if they have such a benefit.
Diagnosis of terminal illness is not always an accurate science, so if the subject lives longer than predicted, the viatical fund would have less return. My two family members were given two years tops in the mid-1980's, one lived 17 years and one is still going at 24 years. If someone would have bought their life policies back in the 80's I would still be laughing at them.
The investment itself is sort of creepy, but the folks in the ternimal illness situation gain by having money to use now while they are alive. For example, if a parent had a large amount of life insurance to be sure his children would be taken care of, and if his children had already left home and the death benefit was less needed, the dying parent could get money from a viatical settlement to take that trip around the world he had always dreamed of.
With no government-backed instruments anywhere in the mix, the investment should be able to be evaluated on its own risk level, rather than being overrated in quality because of government or quasi-government backing of the underlying investment.
Actually, since one of the risks to the investor is the subject patients living longer than expected, this investment could be one way to profit from the coming Obamacare rationing of healthcare to those with bleak prospects of survival already.
Oh, I don't dispute the potential benefits of the existing "life settlement" industry; I agree that, on the individual level, access to those funds can be a good thing. Ditto for the "reverse mortgage" and "annuity purchase" industries; depending on one's individual situation, those can be Good Things.
It's the *$(#%(^ derivatives that gall me. This is a textbook example of the sort of "fancy financial instrument" activity in which the financial industry has shown us--repeatedly--that they can't regulate themselves. Credit default swaps: EPIC FAIL. Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs): EPIC FAIL.
Compounding the matter is the effect of this collateralization on policyholders. In the limited coverage I've seen on this issue, just about everyone is in agreement that consumer premiums are going to rise in reaction/response to this activity.
Something needs to add a dose of common sense to the "hey, we can make MONEY off this" impulse...
They're still trying to figure out a way to blame Obama for this.
HA! Its funny cause its true.
Well i feel this is just a way to confuse everyone. Kinda TP that everyone can not make it out.
r4 dsi